Monday, December 20, 2010

Clinging to Cash



The Wall Street Journal: Top Story: Companies Cling to Cash

Rewind: November 2009: Stashing Cash

Monday, July 12, 2010

Spain

Wednesday, July 7, 2010

Tuesday, July 6, 2010

Monday, July 5, 2010

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Broken



Von Drehle@Time: From Hartford to Honolulu, once sturdy state governments are approaching the brink of fiscal calamity, as the crash of 2008 and its persistent aftermath have led to the reckoning of 2010. Squeezed by the end of federal stimulus money on one hand and desperate local governments on the other, states are facing the third straight year of staggering budget deficits, and the necessary cuts will cost jobs, limit services and touch the lives of millions of Americans...

And don't count on the shaky economic recovery for relief. After plunging in 2009, tax receipts are stabilizing in many places — but the next big shoe is fixing to drop. Having poured billions of dollars into state coffers through the stimulus act of 2009, the federal government is poised to close the tap. President Obama made an unusual Saturday night request to Congress last week for $50 billion in emergency aid to the states to stave off layoffs of teachers, firefighters and police. But it's an election year, and there is scant appetite among vulnerable Democrats in Washington for more zeros at the end of the federal deficit. (Only the federal government is allowed to run deficits; states and cities must balance their budgets or face default.) Already, 11 states are projecting major budget gaps — greater than 10% of general-fund spending — well into 2013. Such persistent budget woes are unprecedented in the era of modern American government. You'd have to go back to the 1930s to find a parallel...

The great reckoning of 2010
took us years to create and will be years in the fixing. It's not as if the economic crisis isn't plenty painful already. In government, as in life, there are cuts that injure and cuts that heal. As they continue to slog through the wreckage of the Great Recession, state and local leaders have a challenge to be surgeons rather than hacks and make this era of crisis into a season of fresh starts.


Ross via Bolton@Bloomberg/Twitter: Looming municipal debt crisis.

Mullen & Carter via NPR: During a recent Washington speech, Mullen highlighted one troubling number: Within two years, just the annual interest on the debt will be close to $600 billion.

"And that's, notionally, about the size of the Defense Department budget. It's not sustainable," he said.

But, if overspending now endangers U.S. security, is it in part because the country is spending too much on security? At $700 billion a year, defense is the biggest part of the federal budget. The United States is now spending as much on defense as the rest of the world combined.

[The U.S. consumes 25% of the world's energy with a share of global GDP at 22% and a share of the world population at 5%.]

If the deficit is to be reduced, the Pentagon is certain to take a hit, and Defense Secretary Robert Gates is warning the department to get ready.

"The secretary is saying we need to deliver the war-fighting capability required within the resources the country can afford to provide, and that's going to require us to change the way we do business here," says Ashton Carter, the Defense Department's undersecretary for acquisitions.


Fast-forward: January 2011:

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Insurance

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Monday, June 14, 2010

Closed




AMNY: It’s a game of chicken set to end at midnight Monday with angry New Yorkers caught in the middle.

The state government could literally shut down at 12:01 a.m. Tuesday if a band of lawmakers refuse to pass the governor’s week-long emergency spending bill that calls for year-long cuts to human services and other programs. For New Yorkers, that could mean everything from a freeze in unemployment checks to a halt in the Mega Millions lottery...

Without a state budget agreement since April, Gov. David Paterson has been taking a piecemeal approach...

“I think frankly the pressure is forcing the legislature to do the responsible thing,” gubernatorial front-runner candidate, Democrat Andrew Cuomo, said at the Puerto Rican Parade Sunday...

The legislators “risk subjecting the public to unimaginable pain that’s unnecessary,” Paterson said yesterday...

The feds and other state governments have shut down during budget impasses, but not New York. The city has plans in place if the worst case scenario should happen, a mayoral spokesman said, though he did not detail what those were.


BBW: “We are not going to shut down government and risk the safety and livelihood of millions of New Yorkers,” said Austin Shafran, a spokesman for Senate Democrats, who are led by John Sampson of Brooklyn, in an e-mailed comment yesterday. “As we continue to make progress on a final budget, we expect to pass the emergency extender and meet taxpayers’ needs.”

Paterson told a gathering of reporters last night in Albany that legislators’ comments that the spending bill will pass were “encouraging,” though he declined to predict the outcome of today’s vote. “One never really knows what’s going to happen in the Senate,” he said.


NY1: State Senate Democrats are assuring New Yorkers that there will not be a government shutdown today, as Albany lawmakers are set to vote on Governor David Paterson's latest emergency budget extender bill.

Democrats have not said exactly how they will gather the 32 votes needed to pass it.

Senate Majority Leader Pedro Espada had threatened to vote against the bill if the governor continued to include permanent spending cuts in the weekly bills, but Espada said yesterday that progress was made over the weekend and he now expects the bill to pass.

The bill to keep the state running also includes some $327 million in cuts to mental health and social services, to help bridge the state's $9.2 billion budget gap.

Bronx Senator Ruben Diaz Sr. has said he will vote against any more cuts.

Republican Schenectady Senator Hugh Farley said Paterson's bill is "horrible," but that he would vote for it to prevent a shutdown.


Meanwhile: AP via BBW: NY agencies hosting high-speed rail conference

Rewind: December 9, 2009: "New York is now at the breaking point. We are about to cross the financial rubicon into fiscal disaster."

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Repave



Monday, June 7, 2010

Claims


Saturday, May 29, 2010

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Fears




Rewind: May 21, 2010: Confidence
Rewind: May 5, 2010: Debt

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Bergen, Between Smith and Boerum




TheInvisibleDog.org

Fast-forward: May 24, 2010: Brooklyn Maize Field (corner of Bergen and Smith): Installing the Stones on Bergen Street; Related: http://www.brooklynmaize.org/boreum.html

Friday, April 23, 2010

Morning Bell





Lewis via BBW: If you happen to be sitting on the Goldman Sachs bond-trading floor, life must feel horribly unfair. You did nothing worse than live by the ethical assumptions of your market—any money-making event short of obviously illegal is admirable—and now your own grandfather thinks you're some kind of monster... You're probably wondering: What next? What will the angry rabble—all those ordinary people who can never really understand your business—now demand that you explain to them, so they can disapprove of you all over again?

Here, for a start, is what the world beyond Wall Street is entitled to:

Full knowledge of the inner workings of your proprietary trading desk. In particular, the moment-to-moment dealings of your correlations traders from late 2004, when they first exploited AIG's idiotic willingness to sell cheap insurance on pools of subprime mortgage loans, until the end of 2007, when they would have taken most of their profits from the total collapse of the subprime bond markets...


Morgenson and Story via NYT: One of the mysteries of the financial crisis is how mortgage investments that turned out to be so bad earned credit ratings that made them look so good.

One answer is that Wall Street was given access to the formulas behind those magic ratings — and hired away some of the very people who had devised them.

In essence, banks started with the answers and worked backward, reverse-engineering top-flight ratings for investments that were, in some cases, riskier than ratings suggested, according to former agency employees...


Morgenson via NYT: Unfortunately, the leading proposals would do little to cure the epidemic unleashed on American taxpayers by the lords of finance and their bailout partners. The central problem is that neither the Senate nor House bills would chop down big banks to a more manageable and less threatening size. The bills also don’t eliminate the prospect of future bailouts of interconnected and powerful companies.

Too big to fail is alive and well, alas. Indeed, several aspects of the legislative proposals sanction and codify the special status conferred on institutions that are seen as systemically important. Instead of reducing the number of behemoth firms assigned this special status, the bills would encourage smaller companies to grow large and dangerous so that they, too, could have a seat at the bailout buffet...


Warren via WNYC (May 11, 2010): The rules are still the same at every point along the line... This is the central question for America... Can you stop the collateral consequences?... So no more Jamie Dimons and Lloyd Blankfeins having survived near death...

Roubini via WNYC (May 12, 2010): In 2006...we knew that we were at the tipping point... Everyone was living in a bubble. And once you live in a bubble, you lose all sense of reality.

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Gone








Rewind to Wednesday, March 31, 2010: Into the Great Wide Open